Adam Forsyth

Iran ready to strike as US ceasefire odds fall

Iran’s military command has warned it is ready to strike “pre-designated targets” if the US makes any move. The ceasefire-by-April-30 market is now priced at 14.5% YES, down from 32% just 24 hours ago. Market reaction The drop reflects traders’ pessimism about a diplomatic resolution given Iran’s aggressive posture. The market saw a 5-point spike…

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No Talks Under Threats, Tehran Says

Iran war news escalated Tuesday as parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf stated publicly that Tehran will not accept negotiations under conditions it considers coercive, with the 10-day US-Iran ceasefire set to expire Wednesday and both sides sharpening rhetoric ahead of prospective talks in Islamabad. Summary Ghalibaf warned that Iran has spent the past two weeks…

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Coinbase Lobbying Hit $1.07M in Q1 on Crypto Laws

Coinbase lobbying activity for Q1 2026 totaled $1.07 million, the company disclosed in a new Lobbying Disclosure Act filing, targeting the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, the GENIUS Act stablecoin law, and digital asset tax treatment legislation. Summary The filing covers lobbying on the CLARITY Act’s market structure provisions, implementation of the GENIUS Act stablecoin…

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