Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 39% chance the Clarity Act becomes law by December 31, 2026. Kalshi bettors set 67.8% odds the Senate votes on the bill before August 8. A $3.1M Kalshi market puts crypto market structure law odds at 61% before April 2027. On Polymarket, the market asking whether the Clarity Act (H.R….
Key Takeaways Saylor’s “What’s next?” post showed the company’s 843,775 BTC position but did not disclose a new transaction. Strategy raised $466.7 million through common-stock sales and increased its cash reserve to $3 billion during the week ended July 12. Recent bitcoin sales and 20.4 months of dividend coverage have expanded the company’s options for…
Key Takeaways Hackers defaced President Ruto’s website on Saturday, demanding 5 bitcoins to prevent a data leak. The threat underscores why NC4 tracked billions of digital attacks on Kenya’s system early this year. NC4 and State House teams are now running a forensic probe to find where security perimeters failed. Government Response Triggered Kenya’s government…
Key Takeaways Bolivia is exploring integrating USDT into its financial system to combat a severe foreign currency crisis. Venezuelan Binance P2P volumes reached $1.38 billion, acting as a primary forex channel rivaling oil exports. An Argentine judge froze crypto wallets tied to the Libra token after police traced millions in transfers. Bolivia Evaluates Integrating USDT…
Key Takeaways Foundry Digital, AntPool, ViaBTC and F2Pool held 70%+ of Bitcoin hashrate on Jun. 23, 2026. D-Central put Bitcoin’s Nakamoto coefficient at 3, raising centralization concerns in H1 2026. ViaBTC scrutiny in 2026 may push miners toward EMCD, which advertises 1.5% FPPS fees. Bitcoin mining is looking less like a wide-open competition and more…
Key Takeaways Brazil’s CVM established a working group to test onchain securities and draft future token regulations. The initiative addresses surging local demand, with tokenization volumes expected to pass $740M in 2025. The 120-day group will design an experimental regulatory regime to build a secure digital capital market. Brazil’s CVM Prepares to Regulate Securities Tokenization…
Key Takeaways U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis says the CLARITY Act is built around three core benefits for developers, investors, and digital asset markets. The proposal seeks to clarify the respective jurisdictions of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The legislation has not yet been enacted, leaving its final…
Key Takeaways Bitcoin’s short-term holder cost basis has crossed below the adjusted long-term holder level, triggering an “end of bear market” signal. The short-term holder cost basis has fallen from $112,500 to $69,000, consistent with recently acquired bitcoin changing hands at lower prices. The signal points to a late-stage bear market, not a confirmed bottom…
Key Takeaways One year after bipartisan House passage, the CLARITY Act still has not delivered the comprehensive market structure the U.S. digital asset industry was promised. The anniversary highlights the widening gap between Washington’s support for crypto innovation and its ability to establish durable, enforceable rules. Senate action is now a broader test of whether…
Key Takeaways FTX starts a $900 million fifth distribution to creditors on July 31, 2026. Dotcom and U.S. customer claims now reach 105% cumulative recovery under the plan. The Senate passed S. Res. 772 on July 16, rejecting clemency for Sam Bankman-Fried. The payout covers eligible holders of allowed claims in the Convenience and Non-Convenience…
