Andreessen Horowitz has entered the growing fight over U.S. prediction markets. Summary A16z says state bans could weaken federally regulated prediction markets and reduce user access nationwide. The CFTC argues several states are trying to control markets under federal oversight rules now. Senators and staff now face a ban on prediction market trading amid rising…
Key Takeaways Neural architecture search automates the creation of deep neural networks, enhancing efficiency in machine learning. Current machine learning training methods lack scalability compared to evolutionary algorithms. Transitioning from vertical to horizontal scaling is crucial for improving machine learning efficiency. Machine learning is poised for a transformative shift similar to the MapReduce moment in…
However, Trump said he couldn’t imagine it was a good proposal Bitcoin’s price sluggishness that began on Friday was interrupted by a quick but unsustainable surge to just over $79,000 on Sunday morning after the latest developments on the Iran-US front. This time, reports claimed that Iran had sent its latest peace proposal to…
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told the House Armed Services Committee on April 30 that the Pentagon is running classified Bitcoin programs on two operational tracks — enabling the technology and countering it — and that those efforts provide the United States leverage against China “in a lot of different scenarios.” Summary Hegseth said “I am…
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market is currently showing a 100% likelihood of crude oil hitting $90 by the end of June. This reflects a consistent trend across all active sub-markets, with no deviation in pricing. ## Key Takeaways – The upcoming OPEC+ meeting appears to suggest an increased probability of…
Bitcoin is trading at $78.3k as the first weekend of May opens. It has done something it has not managed since the cycle peak, which is closing above the 100-day MA and breaking out of a long-term descending channel that contained the entire bearish trend. The move comes alongside strong daily RSI readings, a successful…
President Trump signed an executive order on April 30 directing the Labor Department to allow Trump retirement account access to cryptocurrency, private equity, and other alternative assets inside US 401(k) plans, targeting the roughly $12.5 trillion defined-contribution market that has been largely closed to digital assets under existing ERISA guidance. Summary The executive order instructs…
## Market Snapshot The “Iran airspace closure” market is currently priced at 14% YES for an airspace closure by May 8, up from 24% yesterday. The “Iran leadership status by end of 2026” market sees a potential decrease in YES pricing, reflecting uncertainty about Iran’s leadership stability amid ongoing conflict. ## Key Takeaways – Israel’s…
Tether posted $1.04 billion in Q1 2026 net profit and a record Tether profit reserve buffer of $8.23 billion, backed primarily by $141 billion in US Treasuries, in a quarterly attestation published May 1 by accounting firm BDO, its most detailed financial disclosure to date. Summary Tether profit of $1.04 billion in Q1 represents a…
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu Out” market, the probability of Benjamin Netanyahu leaving office by the end of June stands at 4.5% YES, down from 6% 24 hours ago. The “Next Israeli Prime Minister” market, currently inactive, could be influenced by recent developments. ## Key Takeaways – The convening of Israel’s security cabinet suggests…
