Israel’s military strikes in Gaza, killing a dozen people, have added political pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu. The “Netanyahu out by June 30” contract trades at 5.5% YES, down from 6% yesterday. The June 30 ouster market sits at 5.5% YES amid continued military operations in Gaza. The April 30 contract is at 0.2% YES,…
TON will reduce transaction fees to near zero within a week. Telegram founder and CEO Pavel Durov said that within a week, transaction fees on TON will be reduced sixfold to 0.00039 TON (about $0.0005) per transaction. Moreover, fees will remain fixed regardless of network load. Zero-Fee Transactions In his latest update, Durov also…
DoorDash has begun building stablecoin payment infrastructure on Tempo, the Layer-1 blockchain incubated by Stripe and Paradigm, to pay delivery workers and merchants across more than 40 countries at near-instant settlement speeds and fixed US dollar fees, in one of the largest real-world stablecoin payment deployments by a publicly traded US company to date. Summary…
The U.S. Navy intercepted the M/V Sevan, a sanctioned vessel, in the Arabian Sea. The likelihood of 80 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by April 30 is at 2.8% YES, down from 51% a week ago. The interception represents direct U.S. enforcement action in the region and has raised doubts about whether normal maritime…
Pi Network has confirmed it is an official sponsor of Consensus 2026 in Miami, with co-founders Nicolas Kokkalis and Chengdiao Fan each presenting at the event on May 7 and May 6 respectively, as the network simultaneously faces a mandatory April 27 deadline for all node operators to upgrade to Protocol 22. Summary Pi Network…
Nvidia’s stock closed at an all-time high yesterday, its first in 177 days. The Polymarket contract for Nvidia to become the largest company by market cap on June 30 is now at 92.5% YES, up from 90% a week ago. The stock rally followed a temporary easing in US-China trade tensions, which lifted the chip…
3 signals converged at the February low: weekly RSI at a 4-year low, the sentiment index at its worst, and BTC retesting the 2021 cycle high. Popular crypto analyst Ash Crypto has said that Bitcoin’s drop to around $60,000 in February 2026 was the bottom of the current market cycle, based on a pattern…
Coinbase has filed with the CFTC to activate Trade at Settlement for XRP futures on May 1, placing XRP alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, gold, and crude oil as an asset institutional traders can execute at the official settlement price. Summary Coinbase will launch Trade at Settlement for XRP futures on May 1, covering both nano XRP…
Al-Iraqchi, Iran’s lead diplomat, is set to return to Islamabad, potentially reigniting indirect US-Iran ceasefire talks. The market for the UK striking Iran by April 30 sits at 0.9% YES, down from 2% yesterday. Market reaction Traders read Al-Iraqchi’s return as a sign that diplomacy is continuing, which reduces the likelihood of immediate military action….
The official TRUMP memecoin is down more than -95% from its January 2025 peak of $75, and the traders who rode that wave up are done pretending the story has a second act. The upcoming Mar-a-Lago conference for the token’s top 297 holders drew just $1.4Bn in trading volume in the run-up, compared to $12.9Bn…
