IDF’s Jonathan Conricus claims Tehran’s frustration at the negotiation table signals a lack of control. The odds for a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30 sit at 7.5% YES, down from 20% a day ago. Conricus’s statement implies a diplomatic stalemate, and several related markets have moved accordingly. The US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Locations market…
If you’ve been paying attention to Polymarket and the growing Trump crypto empire over the past few months, you already know something has been off. The BBC has now put numbers to what the on-chain data has been whispering for a while, and the picture isn’t pretty. Across multiple major geopolitical events during Trump’s second…
XRP is grinding in the mid‑$1.40s, trapped between stubborn resistance and strong support as fresh “digital commodity” clarity, ETF rails and April seasonality fight flat flows. Summary XRP trades around 1.42–1.45, still roughly 60% below its 2018 all‑time high near $3.65, with a key 1.30–1.35 support band and 1.50–1.52 acting as near‑term resistance. April is…
Lebanon has condemned Israel for the targeted killing of journalist Amal Khalil, raising questions about the durability of the current ceasefire. The market for an Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026, remains at 100% YES, though recent events on the ground conflict with that price. Khalil was killed in an Israeli drone strike…
World Liberty Financial is under fire after Tron founder Justin Sun filed a federal lawsuit alleging fraud, breach of contract, and the illegal freezing of tokens worth up to $1Bn. The response from Eric Trump was, somehow, a joke about a banana. WLFI’s native token WLFI crypto is trading at $0.07712, down 3.15% in the…
Newly released safeguards helped Kalshi identify three candidates placing trades tied to their campaigns, which resulted in fines and five-year platform bans. Prediction market platform Kalshi has suspended three US political candidates after finding they traded on the outcomes of elections in which they were directly involved, describing the cases as “political insider trading.”…
XRP price is eyeing a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern that could position it for a breakout above $1.50, a level it has remained below for the past 5 weeks. Summary XRP trades near the upper trendline of a symmetrical triangle, with a breakout above $1.50 potentially signaling continuation of the prior uptrend….
The US military seized an oil tanker associated with Iran, pushing odds for Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief by April down to 17% YES, from 26% a day ago. Market reaction Traders drove down odds across several related markets. The April market for Trump agreeing to any Iranian oil sanction relief dropped sharply….
Binance is giving 99Bitcoin readers an exclusive offer: a $10 USDC voucher when they sign up using our dedicated referral link. The offer runs from now until May 16, 2026, and no separate sign-up or opt-in is required. Any new user who registers via the referral link below and completes a first trade of $50…
Even without surpassing the $80,000 level, BTC still managed to increase its dominance over the altcoins. The cryptocurrency market experienced heightened volatility over the past several hours. Bitcoin was on track to break above the psychological $80,000 level but lost momentum just before reaching it. Meanwhile, some altcoins, including MemeCore (M), managed to maintain…
