NATO allies are openly questioning whether the US should still lead the alliance following Trump’s decision to launch strikes on Iran without consulting them. Summary European leaders are seriously considering a future in which the US no longer leads NATO, following disputes over the Iran war. Trump left NATO in the dark before launching strikes…
## Market Snapshot The “Starmer out by June 30, 2026?” market is currently priced at 18.5% YES, down from 38% 24 hours ago. The “Starmer out by December 31, 2026?” market stands at 48% YES, also down from 68% a day earlier. ## Key Takeaways – Labour’s significant local election losses appear to suggest increasing…
OpenAI has released GPT-5.5-Cyber to vetted cyber defenders, giving them reduced guardrails for specialized security workflows. Summary OpenAI’s GPT-5.5-Cyber is the most permissive model in its lineup, available in limited preview to approved partners doing advanced security work. Vetted teams can use it for bug hunting, malware analysis, and reverse engineering, but malware writing and…
## Market Snapshot In the “Bitcoin Price Targets” market, current data shows a 5.1% YES pricing for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by the end of 2026, reflecting a slight increase from 4% a day ago. Meanwhile, the “Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 9” market indicates a near-certain outcome with a 99.9% YES pricing for Bitcoin surpassing…
SoftBank has cut a planned OpenAI‑backed margin loan from around $10 billion to roughly $6 billion after banks and private credit funds pushed back on the deal’s structure and the difficulty of valuing OpenAI, an unlisted AI unicorn. Summary SoftBank Group is shrinking a planned margin loan backed by its OpenAI stake from about $10…
## Market Snapshot The market for “Israel closes its airspace by May 31” is currently priced at 15% YES, reflecting a notable possibility of escalation. Meanwhile, “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” is at 10% YES, indicating reduced confidence in a near-term withdrawal. ## Key Takeaways – Hezbollah’s attack on Haifa appears to…
In Bitcoin ETF news today, BTC dropped to $79,800 on Thursday, slipping below the psychologically critical $80K threshold even as weekly spot Bitcoin ETF inflows surged past $1B for the first time since January. The price sits roughly -3.6% off its recent high of $82,800, with 24-hour trading volume remaining elevated as traders scramble to…
Ripple now appears alongside heavyweights like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. Check out how. The company behind the popular cryptocurrency XRP made a prestigious list alongside major private companies such as SpaceX. The news has failed to trigger a price resurgence in its native token, which remains in the red for the day. However, certain…
Cardano price has started recovering after breaking above a key descending resistance trendline, raising hopes that bulls may attempt a larger move toward the important $0.30 psychological level. Summary Cardano price has rebounded after breaking above a multi-month descending trendline, with ADA climbing nearly 8% from recent weekly lows near $0.245. CoinGlass liquidation heatmap data…
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” market is currently priced at 2.1% YES, down from 4% a day earlier, with no time left for resolution. The “Iran closes its airspace by May 31” market stands at 33.5% YES, up from 28% over the last 24 hours, indicating increasing likelihood as…
